(March 13, 2016 at 10:07 am)pool the great Wrote: Oh shut up penguin. It's not about picking a car in your first try that matters whether you win or not when you switch when the host asks you to is about picking a goat first.
No, it's not. Probability is irrelevant in this puzzle. Particularly because it doesn't work(at least here) as you seem to think it does. You can only talk of chance and probability once you know for sure that each door will be picked the same amount of times throughout a certain number of iterations of the same game.