What do you think of this passage?

[BrianSoddingBoru4]

But here's the thing ... when I think about it, there is a 50-50 chance of this happening, which sounds like a huge risk to me Dodgy ...
do you think there is something wrong with my reasoning/line-of-thought??

Yes, very wrong. You reasoning is analogous to: 'Either hyperintelligent cannibalistic aliens from the plant Glorpnyx VII will eat my testicles or they won't. Therefore, the odds of my testicles being eaten are 50/50.'

It's this sort of pseudo-thinking that makes me want to dig up Blaise Pascal and beat him over the head with his own shinbone.

Boru