What do you think of this passage?

[truth_seeker]

Well, the "**cost** of the risk" of "Independence Day" type aliens is quite high as well. Doesn't make them plausible. For risk assessment to work, you have to have demonstrable evidence that a risk does indeed exist. Otherwise it's just wild speculation.

Mmm that wasn't the point

We don't have any documented claim from Independence Day Aliens that they will punish the shit out of us if we don't follow a certain ethical code.

You are confusing plausibility with pragmatic risk aversion

let's assume the **possibility** of eternal punishment is 10%
((note that, if we had a true evidence at our hands -- which we don't -- then the above percentage becomes 100%))

the cost of this eternal punishment is extremely high -- infinite, due to the claim of eternity

therefore, from a pragmatic risk aversion perspective, even though I might not "enjoy" this belief .. the pragmatically sound decision is to play safe