Disproving Odin - An Experiment in arguing with a theist with Theist logic

[robvalue]

Did someone say “more likely than not”?

Firstly, there’s no possible way to evaluate the probabilities for the KCA premises (if they even make sense). But let’s say each one was 3/5 likely to be true, and they are independent.

That gives a probability that both are true of 9/25, meaning there’s a 16/25 chance the conclusion is wrong even though the premises are most likely true.