RE: Who believes Kim Jong Un is dead?
April 26, 2020 at 12:51 pm
(This post was last modified: April 26, 2020 at 2:11 pm by Anomalocaris.)
i doubt kim is in any serious medical distress. the sort of regime in north korea is highly personality dependent. when the ruler is young and there is no really clear line of succession with a overwhelming and strong favorite successor, there must be a mad dash by everyone who thinks he has a chance, or who thinks his enemy has a chance, to jockey for position.
this would undoubtedly include movement of troops and other assets which can secure a person’s position in a dictatorial national defense state.
if we don’t see military units shifting. senior military officers going to their field headquarters to be closer to their troops and farther of the snake pit at the center of power, then the people really in the know in north korea doesn’t think kim is dying anytime soon. it’s as simple as that.
also, the south koreans and the chinese know this far better than we do. if they are not mobilizing in anticipation of opportunity to assert their own interests in the case of severe infighting north korea in the aftermath of kim’s death, then they don’t think kim is dying anytime soon.
this would undoubtedly include movement of troops and other assets which can secure a person’s position in a dictatorial national defense state.
if we don’t see military units shifting. senior military officers going to their field headquarters to be closer to their troops and farther of the snake pit at the center of power, then the people really in the know in north korea doesn’t think kim is dying anytime soon. it’s as simple as that.
also, the south koreans and the chinese know this far better than we do. if they are not mobilizing in anticipation of opportunity to assert their own interests in the case of severe infighting north korea in the aftermath of kim’s death, then they don’t think kim is dying anytime soon.
