RE: Who believes Kim Jong Un is dead?
April 27, 2020 at 11:03 am
(This post was last modified: April 27, 2020 at 11:18 am by Anomalocaris.)
If the Kim regime survives, China has nothing to fear about losing her buffer because the baggage of the Kim family makes it Unlike they can deviate from the path of totalitarian dictatorship reliant on China for survival. If it appears the Kim family is about to be overthrown, and a new power without the baggage, and therefore able to envision its own survival while opening up and embrace a reproachment with South Korea, China will also have nothing to fear because wjat United South Korea with the west will increasingly not be democracy but the fear of North Korea. A liberalized North Korea will bring South Korea into the Chinese fold Because South Korea loath japan and detest the US as much as she does China, but China increasingly look like she would inevitably come into a position where she is better able to reward South Korea for compliance and punish it for hostility than the US.
If it appears the Kim family is about to be overthrown but the new power for some inexplicable reason thing it is a good thing to approach Taiwan and the US, then China will intervene. But such a outcome is nearly impossible.
One thing all this blaming of China for the Covid 19 pandemic obscured in the US is in Asia china’s star is seen to be on the ascendant while America’s is waning. China’s controlling of the pandemic and the American inability to seen as the bell weather in Asia as indicator that China has the effectiveness of internal organization, strength of government, and consistency of strategy and purpose to surpass and displace the US, and the US has lost all those when each of those would be required to forestall it.
Most governments in East Asia having 5o chose between China and the US are making long term decisions with the criteria that it must not be seen as benefiting in the long run American influence at the expense of Chinese influence, because in the long run American influence won;t be there to reward decisions to favor the US, where as Chinese influence would be there to punish decisions to favor the US.
If it appears the Kim family is about to be overthrown but the new power for some inexplicable reason thing it is a good thing to approach Taiwan and the US, then China will intervene. But such a outcome is nearly impossible.
One thing all this blaming of China for the Covid 19 pandemic obscured in the US is in Asia china’s star is seen to be on the ascendant while America’s is waning. China’s controlling of the pandemic and the American inability to seen as the bell weather in Asia as indicator that China has the effectiveness of internal organization, strength of government, and consistency of strategy and purpose to surpass and displace the US, and the US has lost all those when each of those would be required to forestall it.
Most governments in East Asia having 5o chose between China and the US are making long term decisions with the criteria that it must not be seen as benefiting in the long run American influence at the expense of Chinese influence, because in the long run American influence won;t be there to reward decisions to favor the US, where as Chinese influence would be there to punish decisions to favor the US.
