(August 22, 2023 at 10:08 am)Angrboda Wrote: The principle of insufficient reason says that, given no way to tell the answers apart other than by name, we assign equal probability to each. The odds of the seven people being wrong is less than the odds of the three people being wrong, so the three people are the most likely to be wrong.
I know nothing about sports, so using the principle of insufficient reason I assign equal probabilities to the Cowboys/Patriots game. Bookies clean up.