In your opinion what causes christians to believe in Jesus

[The Architect Of Fate]

It was certainly clear to me that Bel wasn't making any formal statistical inference—he is allowed to suspect. And no statistician would treat Bel's suspicion as invalid; they would simply say that the inference doesn't carry that much information or that it has low reliability. But that's both obvious and implied in the conversation, unless, of course, you're an obtuse and uncharitable reader. 

But since you know about statistics and analysis, surely you can at tell us what the appropriate sample size should have been? (Tip: You can't answer that unless you know how much information we wish to obtain, among other things, which you don't.)

So no refutation to his point then