Climate catastrophe isn't so certain

[Anomalocaris]

A centuries worth of people aware of an increase in deadly cyclones and no reaction by engineers and architects? Give us a little credit. Climate change, yes. Climateapocalypse, no.

There are at least 2000 year's worth of records of deadly cyclones hitting Burma/banglordash region. At least 5 in just the twentieth century killed more than a hundred thousand each. That didn't prevent another one from coming in just 8 years into the next century and kill two hundred thousand in one pop.

Give us some credit that we can work demonstrated weakness in human behavior and human societal planning into forecasts, and we can predict what is likely to happen given human track record of burying heads in sand when it comes to planning for cyclic diseasters, not just what ought to happen in blue engineering sky.

Steady increase in sea level will itself probably not cause many casualties by drowning people because people can walk faster tha sea level can rise. But it will cause casualties by drowning great portions of farm land in places where people barely subsist despite the fertility, and thereby cause reduced food production, forcing migrations, creating added competition for remaining land, probably causing more than a few wars or civil wars.

Then it will increase cyclic disasters like cyclones. People don't plan well for cyclic disasters in most parts of the world, never has. Only highly developed industrial economies like western europe, japan, us, and some reasonably developed authoritarian economies like china even honestly tries. It seems unlikely a gradual increase in cyclic disasters will suddenly motivate much of the world to start.