RE: New Concerns That Israel Is Close To Striking Iran's Nuclear Facilities
August 17, 2012 at 6:19 pm
(This post was last modified: August 17, 2012 at 6:28 pm by Anomalocaris.)
I don't disagree Iran could see further long term strategic benefit to herself, in relation to her sunni neighbors, in absorbing some blows from Isreal but provoking a general, prolonged irregular proxy conflict between herself and Isreal.
Iran is not out to destroy Isreal. For a long term to come I think Iran can't care less about Isreal per se, except for the fact that Iran can capitalize on the Muslim world's hatred for Isreal to increase her own influence amongst the Muslim world, particularly against the Sunni regimes in Saudi Arabia and the gulf shiekdoms. If provoking a war with Isreal will do that, than Iran will provoke a war with Isreal.
If you would notice, the defence minister of Saudi Arabia was in Pakistan about 2 weeks ago, discussing the possibility of buying Pakistani nukes for Saudi forces. This is wide reported but not adversely commented upon the western press. In the late 1990s, Saudi Arabia bought a bunch of decommissioned Chinese Intermediate range bullistic missiles without warheads. This should tell you a thing or two about who has the most to raytionally fear from a powerful Iran, and if Iran developes a nuclear weapon where it is most like aimed. Iran is out to create a Shiite dominated middle east. She is out to make mellienial changes to the sectarian landscape of the heart of middle east. Israel is periferal to this.
Iran is not out to destroy Isreal. For a long term to come I think Iran can't care less about Isreal per se, except for the fact that Iran can capitalize on the Muslim world's hatred for Isreal to increase her own influence amongst the Muslim world, particularly against the Sunni regimes in Saudi Arabia and the gulf shiekdoms. If provoking a war with Isreal will do that, than Iran will provoke a war with Isreal.
If you would notice, the defence minister of Saudi Arabia was in Pakistan about 2 weeks ago, discussing the possibility of buying Pakistani nukes for Saudi forces. This is wide reported but not adversely commented upon the western press. In the late 1990s, Saudi Arabia bought a bunch of decommissioned Chinese Intermediate range bullistic missiles without warheads. This should tell you a thing or two about who has the most to raytionally fear from a powerful Iran, and if Iran developes a nuclear weapon where it is most like aimed. Iran is out to create a Shiite dominated middle east. She is out to make mellienial changes to the sectarian landscape of the heart of middle east. Israel is periferal to this.
