(February 9, 2014 at 5:18 am)Rayaan Wrote:(February 9, 2014 at 4:42 am)max-greece Wrote: In other words we are looking at the pack of cards once we have already estabished the order and asking what is the liklihood that it is in the order that we have already established. The probability of that is actually one in one.
So would the probability also be one in one if today you just won a $200 million lottery?
If I have just won the lottery and you ask me the probability that I have just won the lottery then the probability is indeed one in one.
If I am waiting for the results of the lottery the probability of my winning is obviously a lot less (one in a hundred million or some such).
The probability question only means something is the event has not yet happened - which is exactly the point I was making.
Kuusi palaa, ja on viimeinen kerta kun annan vaimoni laittaa jouluvalot!