(February 9, 2014 at 5:18 am)Rayaan Wrote:(February 9, 2014 at 4:42 am)max-greece Wrote: In other words we are looking at the pack of cards once we have already estabished the order and asking what is the liklihood that it is in the order that we have already established. The probability of that is actually one in one.
So would the probability also be one in one if today you just won a $200 million lottery?
(February 9, 2014 at 4:57 am)Jacob(smooth) Wrote: I've have a couple of straight flushes in my poker career. The number of hands I've played, that's very likely. The chances of my NEXT hand being a straight flush remain pretty tiny.
Let's suppose that in your next hand you do get a straight flash.
And then if I said, "Well, the odds of that happening is actually one in one and not 'pretty tiny' since it already happened," would you agree with that?
Essentially yes. I'd change it slightly to "the odds of that having happened". Odds look forward not backward. The odds of my next hand are mathematically established. My last hand simply was what it was (paired aces from a pre flop shove with A 8 heads up).
"Peace is a lie, there is only passion.
Through passion, I gain strength.
Through strength, I gain power.
Through power, I gain victory.
Through victory, my chains are broken."
Sith code
Through passion, I gain strength.
Through strength, I gain power.
Through power, I gain victory.
Through victory, my chains are broken."
Sith code
