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Super Tuesday
#21
RE: Super Tuesday
If it's a two man race, I don't really see Cruz as being the second man. Cruz should have done better in the south, but he only managed to pick up his home state and one other bible belt state. I think his campaign might have climaxed. On the other hand, I think Rubio's and/or Kasich's best moments are ahead of them. Not saying Cruz won't win again, but Super Tuesday should have been his night. He's working really hard to sell this as a two man race, because he knows that undermining the viability of Rubio and Kasich is his only shot as being the anyone-but-Trump candidate.
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#22
RE: Super Tuesday
(March 2, 2016 at 2:41 pm)Minimalist Wrote: If my quoting professional political watchers is "including it" then guilty as charged.  Do you seriously think that if people were going to "change their minds" they would have come out for Clinton in the first place when all they had to do was stay silent?

Yes I do seriously think that, because it happens every single election year. Clinton had the most superdelegates when she was up against Obama, but as Obama won more and more states, many of Clinton's superdelegates switched to support Obama instead.

Also note that superdelegates don't even *count* until the conference. There's no official party total of them. News organisations and pollsters keep track via different means. Some will track only those who have publicly announced their support; some will try and estimate the numbers. The point is, you can go to different news sites and get completely different numbers of delegates. The only delegate numbers that are static are the pledged delegates, which are those won in primaries / caucuses.

Source: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/supe...y-clinton/
Source: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Por...cy_Project (scroll down to "Superdelegate switchers")

Quote:Come on, Tibs.  Be serious. Sanders is an independent running for the democratic nomination.  That is not lost on the democratic establishment.

Sanders is an independent who has caucused with the Democrats throughout his time in office. That's relevant. It's not like some random independent just decided he wanted the Democratic nomination; he's been a Democrat in all but the name for decades.
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#23
RE: Super Tuesday
Unfortunately, that might be the only reason he doesn't get the prize, push comes to shove. The dems aren't better than that, not by an inch.
I am the Infantry. I am my country’s strength in war, her deterrent in peace. I am the heart of the fight… wherever, whenever. I carry America’s faith and honor against her enemies. I am the Queen of Battle. I am what my country expects me to be, the best trained Soldier in the world. In the race for victory, I am swift, determined, and courageous, armed with a fierce will to win. Never will I fail my country’s trust. Always I fight on…through the foe, to the objective, to triumph overall. If necessary, I will fight to my death. By my steadfast courage, I have won more than 200 years of freedom. I yield not to weakness, to hunger, to cowardice, to fatigue, to superior odds, For I am mentally tough, physically strong, and morally straight. I forsake not, my country, my mission, my comrades, my sacred duty. I am relentless. I am always there, now and forever. I AM THE INFANTRY! FOLLOW ME!
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#24
RE: Super Tuesday
Quote:Sanders is an independent who has caucused with the Democrats throughout his time in office. That's relevant. It's not like some random independent just decided he wanted the Democratic nomination; he's been a Democrat in all but the name for decades.

I'm sure that you think so.  Apparently the Democratic establishment has a different opinion.
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#25
RE: Super Tuesday
Super Delegates are not to be considered as actual delegates. They changed for Obama in 08 when Clinton was backed by tons of super delegates, but Obama had won the people. They always change for whomever the people decide is the nominee, and serve no relevance currently.

Furthermore, it was a win for Bernie. He won 3 out of 4 toss-up states, and showed that Clinton doesn't have a firewall.

Bernie has won 41% of the pledged delegates so far with only 21% decided, and nearly all of the south has already voted. He still has a seriously good chance of winning it. Don't be fooled.
Which is better:
To die with ignorance, or to live with intelligence?

Truth doesn't accommodate to personal opinions.
The choice is yours. 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

There is God and there is man, it's only a matter of who created whom

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The more questions you ask, the more you realize that disagreement is inevitable, and communication of this disagreement, irrelevant.
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#26
RE: Super Tuesday
In June of 2008, Clinton suspended her campaign, released her delegates to vote for Obama, and later at the convention moved to have him nominated by acclamation.

Give me a jingle when Sanders gets to that point.
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#27
RE: Super Tuesday
(March 2, 2016 at 6:09 pm)Minimalist Wrote: In June of 2008, Clinton suspended her campaign, released her delegates to vote for Obama, and later at the convention moved to have him nominated by acclamation.

Give me a jingle when Sanders gets to that point.
Face it, you lost the argument.
Which is better:
To die with ignorance, or to live with intelligence?

Truth doesn't accommodate to personal opinions.
The choice is yours. 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

There is God and there is man, it's only a matter of who created whom

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The more questions you ask, the more you realize that disagreement is inevitable, and communication of this disagreement, irrelevant.
Reply
#28
RE: Super Tuesday
(March 2, 2016 at 2:41 pm)Minimalist Wrote: If my quoting professional political watchers is "including it" then guilty as charged.  Do you seriously think that if people were going to "change their minds" they would have come out for Clinton in the first place when all they had to do was stay silent?

Come on, Tibs.  Be serious. Sanders is an independent running for the democratic nomination.  That is not lost on the democratic establishment.

They will have to change their minds if they see Bernie is the one winning in terms of pledged delegates. If they don't do that, the DNC is fucked.
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#29
RE: Super Tuesday
Quick question, as I'm not remotely an authority on USian politics: How did it get to be 'Super' Tuesday? Was it bitten by a radioactive Tuesday?

Boru
‘But it does me no injury for my neighbour to say there are twenty gods or no gods. It neither picks my pocket nor breaks my leg.’ - Thomas Jefferson
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#30
RE: Super Tuesday
(March 2, 2016 at 7:53 pm)BrianSoddingBoru4 Wrote: Quick question, as I'm not remotely an authority on USian politics:  How did it get to be 'Super' Tuesday?  Was it bitten by a radioactive Tuesday?

Boru

It's the day that the most states hold their primaries / caucases.
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