RE: Will Trump by impeached by 2018?
December 22, 2016 at 10:18 pm
(December 22, 2016 at 8:34 pm)Mermaid Wrote: After this, anything is possible and nothing is predictable.
Maybe. Maybe we can make guesses based on what's happened.
In this case, I think a large part of why Trump won is because he made big promises to the rust belt states. These are steel workers who are finding fewer and fewer jobs. These are the coal miners who are afraid their industry is dying. These are the factory workers who get nervous when they see their jobs being shipped overseas. He promised them that he would make sure their jobs stay here, where they are.
And I don't predict Trump being able to do that. I think, when you run for your first term, your message has to be "Things need to change." When you run for a second term, you're going to have to say "This is what I've accomplished." I don't think he's going to be able to accomplish what he's promised, which will make a reelection very difficult for him.
Of course, if some kind of mega crisis comes up, all that goes out the window, just like Dubya did in the 2004 election, when we were still in the shadow of 9/11. And this isn't out of the question; Trump is making a lot of bad moves, pissing off China and filling his cabinet with corporate predators. I just hope the people have the sense to realize that these problems will be problems he, himself, created.