RE: I'm leaving Ron Paul land
February 9, 2016 at 11:05 pm
(This post was last modified: February 9, 2016 at 11:08 pm by Minimalist.)
Quote:Do you have evidence to suggest otherwise?
Sure. This chart and simple math.
http://www.270towin.com/2016-house-election/
( Click the box to highlight contested districts.)
There are 435 seats in the House. A majority is 218.
The Democrats have 168 "safe" seats and 14 "likely" for 182 in 2016
The GOP has 204 "safe" seats and 18 "likely" for 222 in 2016. This gives them a majority before even considering the other races.
There are only 31 races classified as "toss-up" or "leaning" in one direction or another. If the democrats swept all 31 (highly unlikely) they still fall short of a majority.
Math is a bitch.
