How long was the rape scandal going on?

[Rev. Rye]

What if it's always been how we found it to be?  If all popes started as priests, and if we go with the low figure that 5% of them are pedophile rapists, and if there have been 266 popes, then the probability that there has never been a pedophile rapist pope is:

0.95^266=0.0000011871=0.00011871%.

Well, there is a distinct possibility that Sixtus IV may have been a pedophile, according to contemporary historian Stefano Infessura, calling him a "lover of boys and sodomites", apparently creating so many cardinals because many of them were his ex-boyfriends. Of course, Infessura and Sixtus weren't necessarily on the best of terms, so these allegations aren't reliable.

Also, I'm not sure if your math is very accurate to the situation. That would really only apply if popes are selected at random. It would be more accurate to ask the incidence of pedophilia in cardinals, though perhaps even that wouldn't be too accurate. Maybe the pedophile priests are less ambitious than the cardinals who cover them up.