RE: Arguments Against Thomistic philosophy
January 25, 2018 at 9:17 am
(This post was last modified: January 25, 2018 at 9:19 am by polymath257.)
(January 25, 2018 at 9:12 am)emjay Wrote: The problem, MK, is that it is indeed possible... and in fact likely... to feel absolute certainty - to the core of your being - and be completely wrong nine times out of ten. It happens to me all the time in Mafia games... or at least it used to... until I became more aware of the effect. As such, I don't trust the feeling of emotional certainty at all... and therefore don't seek it... quite the reverse in fact... if I feel it, it's tells me that something's likely wrong with my thinking... that I am probably succumbing to confirmation bias... and therefore that I should consider whatever conclusion I've reached, unreliable. Basically, all I seek is confidence, not certainty. Anyway, Mafia games are a breeding ground for paranoia, confirmation bias, and the associated feelings of certainty... depending on how emotionally involved you get in the game... though imo even the most rational and detached players aren't completely immune to it... so why not have a few games to see what I'm talking about? If you experience what I'm talking about, and can honestly say that it's nothing like the sort of certainty you're describing, then fair enough. But if it does seems similar, then at least that's something to reflect on?
As they say, the easiest person to fool is yourself.
If you are *absolutely convinced* of something, you are likely deluding yourself. Always, always, always be *more* skeptical of ideas that line up with your biases.
One thing mathematicians have learned: the weakest link in logic is usually after the word "Clearly".