What do moderates think Jesus died for?

[Alan V]

In a materialistic view there can be no free will and we're all just robots, following programming.

I think it's only reductionist materialists who say free will is impossible.  I am an emergentist materialist, who considers life, consciousness, and free will as emergent properties of complex arrangements of matter.

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If your neural state can be mapped precisely, it could well be that your choices made with what you conceive to be free will can be predicted with rigorous precision and accuracy long before you are even aware of the need to exercise your free will to make them.   Where is the free will in that case?

"In the history of science, Laplace's demon was the first published articulation of causal or scientific determinism, by Pierre-Simon Laplace in 1814. According to determinism, if someone (the demon) knows the precise location and momentum of every atom in the universe, their past and future values for any given time are entailed; they can be calculated from the laws of classical mechanics. A desire to confirm or refute Laplace's demon played a vital motivating role in the subsequent development of statistical thermodynamics, the first of several repudiations developed by later generations of physicists to the assumption of causal determinacy upon which Laplace's demon is erected."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laplace's_demon

Another such repudiation was quantum mechanics.

In my opinion, the kind of determinism you are arguing for depends on an outmoded picture of material realities. We now know they are often statistical rather than completely determined. Thus even the underlying physics would allow for different choices with replays of circumstances.