Official live update of spread of COVID19

[brewer]

Lipsitch predicted the 40 to 70% infection rate (published in the Atlantic which Gilman also tweeted about), not the 10 to 100 million dead.

Lipsitch: So say that's half the people. Then the 1% or 2% that we're seeing in the symptomatic people is cut down by half. Whatever the number is, it's gonna take a toll. If it really does spread as widely as that projection says, and that's what I think is likely to happen, then there are gonna be millions of people dying. And I don't think there's any way to get around that. And so I think there's real reason for people to be concerned. I also think that we can turn that concern into actions that will make the situation better.

I don't see "10 to 100 million". Is there something like bible code in this statement that I can't decipher?

All Gilman did was worst case scenario math, based on 7.8 billion population. That's not a good medical science predictor.

Edit: If you want to keep beating a dead horse, have at it.