Official live update of spread of COVID19

[Rev. Rye]

You’re getting 43 percent because you’re just dividing the dead and recovered by the total. What I suggested is subtract the dead and recovered from the total (the active cases) and divide that by the total. There, you would get 56%. And, of course, even when it reaches below 50% (which is only the point where we see the light at the end of the tunnel, not to be confused with the point where we’re actually out) you’ll still be playing the waiting game, waiting for the number of new cases to decline even more rapidly than they had been, waiting for those who still have it to survive or die.