Russia and Ukraine

[Thumpalumpacus]

He's suffering under the delusions that Russia's total failure is not a total failure 

The display of Russian might thus far shown is very underwhelming. All of Anom's predictions from earlier in this thread have come unwound. I shared some of those preconceptions before the Russians jumped off; I thought for sure that they'd crush Ukrainian resistance.

Of course, I had assumed that they would deploy well-trained troops, with a coherent doctrine of combined operations, supplied far better than the Ukrainians. I was wrong. Indeed, I had thought there would be no invasion at all, because it struck me as the expensive way to achieve his aims, from Putin's perspective. I was, again, wrong. I also figured that is they did invade they'd move south from Belorus to cut off any aid from NATO via Poland; wrong again.

So was Putin and the leadership he has appointed. Even if worse comes to worst for the Ukrainians, they will certainly bog Russia down into an insurgency that Russia cannot afford or support:

Sanctions imposed on Russia to cripple its economy may be starting to hurt its military capabilities.

The country’s primary armored vehicle manufacturer appears to have run out of parts to make and repair tanks, according to a Facebook post by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Citing “available information,” it reported state-owned company Uralvagonzavod, which builds tanks such as the T-72B3, has had to temporarily cease production in Nizhny Tagil.

https://fortune.com/2022/03/22/russian-t...raine-war/

This is just a few weeks into sanctions. With swamps in Ukraine's north and mountains in the west, @Nomad's prediction of a deadly insurgency (earlier in this thread) could well come to pass even if the Ukrainian military is defeated on the field.

The Russians have screwed the pooch, here. They've stuck their nose into a trap and won't get out easy.