Russia and Ukraine

[Pat Mustard]

One last thing, I thought even before the war that Russia would be in trouble 50 miles outside their borders, because in any serious operation (remember Chechnya, Georgia and Syria was largely them against defenceless civilians) they didn't have the logistics capability, experience or even the economy to keep going for longer than a few days.

I was full confident Putain wouldn't invade, not because I thought he was a master strategist, but because I thought he had the basic cop-on to know he couldn't win in any meaningful manner (little did I realise that Putain's Hitler complex was galaxy sized). And I'd even forgotten about rasputitsa when I made the "can't fight 50 miles outside its borders" predicition.