RE: Nuclear missiles in Cuba?
April 4, 2022 at 4:24 pm
(This post was last modified: April 4, 2022 at 4:28 pm by Anomalocaris.)
(April 4, 2022 at 4:19 pm)HappySkeptic Wrote: The problem with ballistic missiles in Cuba is that they could strike the U.S. without giving sufficient warning for a nuclear counter-attack, thus breaking the MAD balance of the cold war. Cuba can and did make alliances with the USSR. That wasn't the problem. The problem was the much greater threat of nuclear Armageddon.
Ukraine wasn't going to ever have NATO nuclear missiles. They gave up the Russian ones. However, in 20 years, I wouldn't be surprised if a "neutral" Ukraine develops their own in secret.
Whether Ukraine would ever have had NATO nuclear weapons without the Russian invasion is obviously going to remain unknown. However, combined with US unilateral withdrawal in 2019 from the treaty with restricted the US from deploying exactly the kind of missile suitable for launching from Ukraine into European Russia certainly makes that possibly too serious for Russian to just wait and see how it develops.
Presence of intermediate range nuclear missile in Ukraine creates exactly the same situation for Moscow as presence of similar missile in Cuba creates for Washington DC, except the time for warning would be a third as long.