RE: Russia and Ukraine
April 5, 2022 at 4:02 pm
(This post was last modified: April 5, 2022 at 4:12 pm by Anomalocaris.)
I think russia’s end games is a multi-year war that wrecks Ukraine by driving most of its educated profession urban population out of the country as refugees. I believe 4 million refugees have left in barely a month already.
they might agree to various ceasefires along the way for respite and redeployment, but they will continue to lob missiles and do other things that encourage civilians to flee and discourage them from returning, and periodically invest and attack cities to emphasize just what a bad ideal it is for ukrainian urbanites to remain.
I think they are going to do what they’ve done in Chechnya from 1994-circa 2004.
they might agree to various ceasefires along the way for respite and redeployment, but they will continue to lob missiles and do other things that encourage civilians to flee and discourage them from returning, and periodically invest and attack cities to emphasize just what a bad ideal it is for ukrainian urbanites to remain.
I think they are going to do what they’ve done in Chechnya from 1994-circa 2004.
