RE: Russia and Ukraine
May 11, 2022 at 9:47 pm
(This post was last modified: May 11, 2022 at 11:45 pm by Anomalocaris.)
that every army adapts to the reality revealed by actual war is true. But different army also exhibits different levels of initial preparedness both relative to its pre-war perceptions, as well as to early realities of war. In general Russia has seldom if ever entered a war without being less prepared than it had believed itself to be compared to powers, and less prepared than those other powers.
it appears the normal peacetime state of the russian army is having thought less far ahead, having analyses probable nature of the next war with less intellectual rigor, and more fatalism in reliance on the capacity and willingness to absorb casualty and wing it then leading armies.
A particularly traumatizing experience, such as WWII, may prompt the society and ruling class to support a generation or two of diligent military reform that enables it to find ways to keep pace with other leading armies in overall effectiveness. but that diligence gradually fades after a generation or at most 2, and russia falls back again.
it appears the normal peacetime state of the russian army is having thought less far ahead, having analyses probable nature of the next war with less intellectual rigor, and more fatalism in reliance on the capacity and willingness to absorb casualty and wing it then leading armies.
A particularly traumatizing experience, such as WWII, may prompt the society and ruling class to support a generation or two of diligent military reform that enables it to find ways to keep pace with other leading armies in overall effectiveness. but that diligence gradually fades after a generation or at most 2, and russia falls back again.
