(February 25, 2023 at 7:07 pm)Belacqua Wrote: Cambridge University study on how the global south views the war:
https://go.ind.media/webmail/546932/1252...43cd2cc731
Anglophone media suggest that "the world" is aligned against Russia, but this is not true.
Important quote from the study:
Quote:A recent survey published by Nature Energy states that up to 140 million people could be pushed into extreme poverty due to the higher energy prices that have come about over the past year.
Soaring energy prices not only directly impact energy bills, but they also lead to upward price pressures on all supply chains and consumer items, including food and other necessities. This hurts the developing countries even more than it hurts the West.
The West can sustain the war “as long as it takes” since they have the financial resources and the capital markets to do so. But the Global South does not have the same luxury. A war for the future of European security has the potential of devastating the security of the entire world.
As far I can see, it is China / not Russia who has started this “charm offensive” (or so called “peace plan”) in an attempt to try to win over the global south. And it’s not an empty attempt because countries like Brasil, India or South-Africa do not entirely understand the existential issue in this war that they may see as “too far away” from them. But the US is making efforts to convince them otherwise. And this is very important because the Chino-Russian influence in West Africa is clearly disruptive. There are many people who have to flee advancing “Jihadi” groups like Boko-Haram in countries like Chad and Niger because local dictators preferred to work with Wagner rather than the stability promoting French and German troops there. (https://reporting.unhcr.org/west-central-africa)
The position of China is also changing rapidly. 20 years ago it was a (yes) authoritarian state that was mostly inner economic growth rather than ambitious political expansion. Today it is clearly moving toward a much disruptive role in the world + inner balances of the CCP are said to have been changed toward more authoritarianism since Xi-Chi-Ping came to power. And this is also something big. Because if you want economic growth, you have to want peace. So how can Xi be promoting economic growth if he decides to provide weapons to the Russian? With about 300,000 – 400,000 causalities already this number will easily move toward the million within a year or so. So what is China even doing?
By the way there are “No to War” demonstrations in Germany today. So let’s face it: no one wants this WWI 2.0 right now, but where is the solution?
And here is a nice time-lapse on the Ukraine war I found today:
![[Image: 7151bc275de2d3d422106a4008215efe.jpg]](https://i.pinimg.com/originals/71/51/bc/7151bc275de2d3d422106a4008215efe.jpg)