Russia and Ukraine

[Leonardo17]

Wednesday, August 30th 2023, Ukrainians started breaking through the Russian line of defense around the village of Robotyne.
 
https://www.yahoo.com/news/ukrainian-for...23488.html
 

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I think the West is pushing them to do that even if it means losing some personnel and equipment. Nothing is definitive yet, but if it works, I think the war might end within months instead of years. That’s very important because if Biden loses the elections in 2024, it is not clear if the US can continue with its huge amount of military and financial support on Ukraine.
 
Also, if it works, it will be a huge coincidence. In the end of the month of August 1922 (also August 30th / almost exactly on century ago) that’s when we broke through the Greek defense lines in what we call The Great Offensive that had started a week before that. And after that happened (and that’s how trench warfare works), the defending side has no choice but the retreat as quickly as possible unless there is an equally well defendable position some 30-50 miles behind them. And I think Russian forces would be able to do that and would have to retreat all the way back to Crimea.
 
In fact, I have come to believe that Crimea might be the only part of invaded Ukrainian territory that they might somehow manage to keep at the end of this war.
 
But I don’t want to be too optimistic either. The Ukrainians seem to lack the numbers in this war (Almost 3 to 1 if I am correct). And that can be very important in this WWI type of warfare.
 

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