Russia and Ukraine

[Pat Mustard]

I think it's safe to assume that ukraine has already suffered tremendous casualties - we know that was one point of disagreement between us planners and ukranian commanders that hampered the counteroffensive over the summer.  This slow rolling retreat - except for when they just drop their shit and bolt in civvy clothes, is as best as russia can take advantage of that misfortune.  Two months from now they'll be even less capable of taking advantage - as the attritional phases of this war have seen russias force and force projection fade while ukraine gains new tech, new ability, and much more experience - owing in large part to the ukranian strategy of husbanding their resources even when it pisses off their american partners.

Speaking of American partners, I wonder how hard is it for the USA to give support Ukraine right now? Any hindrances?

The republitraitor party are the only hindrance to US military aid for Ukraine.

In fact sending aid to Ukraine is a military help to the US in many ways, it usefully gets rid of old obsolete stocks allowing newer stocks to be deployed more rapidly, it gives the US valuable military insights into what it considered, to 2022, its current biggest threat and into how to wage war with new equipment like drones, it solidifies an alliance with a large (if poor) nation in Eastern Europe and it drains the power of a country which has been at war with it (at least de facto, putting out a bounty on US forces in Afghanistan operating under a UN security council mandate is an act of war) for at least a decade.