(April 22, 2024 at 4:30 pm)ShinyCrystals Wrote:(April 22, 2024 at 3:48 pm)Thumpalumpacus Wrote: In a nutshell, badly. After taking Avdiivka over the winter at enormous cost, they are now fought to a standstill while still suffering several hundred casualties per day. They're combing out prisons, tricking foreigners, and denuding other borders in order to maintain sufficient manpower in Ukraine. They have numerous logistical issues ranging from being mostly tied to railroads to having Crimea close to being cut off, supply-wise.
Meanwhile, they have to stay on the offensive because they're in a race against time with the arrival of the aid recently approved in Congress and about to be approved by the EU.
I would suggest they're already in the middle of a "loud and humiliating fiasco".
There is a lot you said, but overall, they are doing badly?
In the words of Darth Sidious from Star Wars…
Good. Good.
I literally wrote at the outset, "In a nutshell, badly."
I then went on to justify my opinion. I agree with @GUBU that their time is a lot shorter than they think. I'd also add that if they do run past that time, every day they do so is another nail in the coffin of their current government.
I don't doubt the oligarchs are busy offshoring money and making travel plans as we write.
