Russia and Ukraine

[Ivan Denisovich]

What benefit? With each day of Ukraine continuing to bleed Upper Volta with rockets we're closer to russia collapse. It already ain't doing too well and if putler propaganda apparatus won't convince Europe leaders of abandoning Ukraine then maybe this anus mundi will implode like in 1917 or at least it will be too weak to continue both war and being nuisance to its neighbours. There however is no hope of russia ever becoming normal country. Unless Mongols will take over again I guess.

Just for fun I asked Grok if what you say is true. Here is what it said:

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No, the Russian government is not close to collapse as of December 2025. While the regime faces significant challenges—particularly economic strain from the ongoing war in Ukraine, sanctions, and internal pressures—these have not reached a breaking point that threatens the Kremlin's stability.

Economic Pressures

Russia's economy has slowed markedly in 2025 due to high military spending, depleted reserves, and falling oil revenues. Growth is projected at around 1-2% (down from 4%+ in prior years), with inflation high and a budget deficit that has required tapping into sovereign funds. Analysts describe this as "military Keynesianism" leading to stagnation, with risks of recession or overheating. However, the economy has shown resilience through war-driven production, trade with China and India, and domestic financing—no full collapse has occurred, and the Kremlin has managed deficits without major crises.

Political and Internal Stability

Vladimir Putin's regime maintains firm control through repression, high approval ratings (often 80%+ in polls), and loyalty from elites and regions. There are no widespread protests or significant opposition movements inside Russia; dissent is suppressed, and key figures like Navalny's successors operate mostly in exile with limited domestic impact. Putin has consolidated power, with no credible internal challengers. The war in Ukraine continues without major setbacks that could destabilize the leadership—Russian forces have made gradual gains, though at high cost.

Health and Succession Rumors

Persistent rumors about Putin's health (e.g., cancer, Parkinson's) have circulated for years but lack evidence. He appears publicly active, and the Kremlin denies any issues. Succession remains unclear, but the regime's structure is designed to endure without immediate upheaval.

Broader Context

The war in Ukraine drags on, with Russia pursuing maximalist goals (e.g., control over annexed regions) despite diplomatic overtures. External pressures like sanctions and aid to Ukraine have not forced concessions or regime change. Some analysts predict long-term erosion (e.g., demographic decline, over-reliance on military spending), but these are gradual, not imminent threats.In summary, while the regime is under strain and the war is unsustainable long-term, it is far from collapsing. Predictions of imminent downfall have repeatedly proven overstated, as Russia adapts to pressures.

110 web pages

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Well, I don't know. Maybe Elon has made a deal with old Putin. But this echoes what I've read elsewhere. 

We can always hope, I guess. But it doesn't do any good to ignore the facts.

Next time ask putler directly, I'm sure that answer you will get will be just as "good".