(July 16, 2009 at 6:48 pm)fr0d0 Wrote: Well say I'm certain and you're not does that make the balance of probability tilt in my favour?No. How? You're claming what you can't know, without any evidence. That makes it a hell of a lot less convincing in my view. Absolute certainty based on absence of evidence - is not convincing in my book!
Quote:If my conviction is substantively stronger than yours does that make my conviction more convincing?
No.
Not at all, as I said.
Not to me anyway.
And I wouldn't say it's actually substantially stronger. I mean it's a lot stronger because it's absolute...But I'm about as certain (or as certain(?)) as you can get without being absolute. It's not like my 'convictions' are weak!
I don't care about how certain I am, it's the logic behind it that matters to me. Whether the certainty is logical - and probable - or not, is based on the logic of it itself...not the certainty in such logic! That, seems pretty damn circular to me!
EvF
