RE: Would you be an atheist if science and reason wasn't supportive of atheism?
December 6, 2012 at 12:24 am
(This post was last modified: December 6, 2012 at 12:33 am by Vincenzo Vinny G..)
(December 6, 2012 at 12:03 am)Rhythm Wrote:(December 5, 2012 at 11:18 pm)Vincenzo "Vinny" G. Wrote: The problem is, you have two separate, contradictory probabilities of Bob winning the lottery.Bolding is mine..........
Before he wins it's 1 in n number of tickets.
After he wins it's 1 in 1?
This is nonsense. You can't have two different, contradictory probabilities for one situation.
Quote:After he wins, it's not even the same scenario, the previous odds don't apply.Bolding is mine...........
Quote:I know how difficult it is to admit you were wrong and I'm right. So I won't even expect you to do anything other than make personal attacks and say "you're wrong, you're wrong" without engaging with what I'm saying.Feel free to elaborate on exactly where I've failed to explain to you that "odds" mean jack shit with regards to events that have already occurred?
Are you kidding?
An improbable event doesn't become probable just because time has passed.
Nobody calculates probabilities like this.
A coincidence that happened in the past is still a coincidence. An inevitability that happened in the past is still an inevitability.
If you wind back the clock and run the event again you just might get a very different outcome than your 1:1 prediction.
How old are you?
edit: Instead of wasting my time with this crap, go learn about Bayes Theorem. I'll even tutor you on Skype or something.


