RE: Why Would God Hide?
September 8, 2014 at 3:38 pm
(This post was last modified: September 8, 2014 at 3:44 pm by Michael.)
Well, Bayesian thought is not dependent on what position is being held, or who holds it, or whether the prior presupposition is towards belief in or non-belief in a proposition. So it would say, in simple terms, a gnostic atheist will require stronger evidence of there being a god than an agnostic atheist. It's quite common sense really, but it acknowledges that different people might have different prior positions (rather than trying to decide on one assumed starting point for everyone, which I don't think works very well as very frequently people try to insist that the other person adopts their starting position). This framework seems very akin to real life to me; it describes what I think I see in discussions between theists and atheists.
Anyway, I'd just thought I'd throw that in. It may ring true to some, and not to others. Bayes would predict that those who start from a position quite different to his are most likely to reject it, or at least require much more convincing before they let go of their prior position.
Anyway, I'd just thought I'd throw that in. It may ring true to some, and not to others. Bayes would predict that those who start from a position quite different to his are most likely to reject it, or at least require much more convincing before they let go of their prior position.