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Logic of chance
#9
RE: Logic of chance
(January 9, 2009 at 9:19 am)Ephrium Wrote: Say talk about the lottery. There is just say 1 in 1 billion billion chance of some number being chosen Randomly. If we are to fully trust in believer's logic, then we will have to say, no matter what number happened to be the result,

"Look, there is only 1 in 1 billion billion chance this number can happen. Will you rather believe it was by itself or that someone purposely picked this number"
Your argument is not the same as theirs though. You are reasoning from the start of a sequence of events, they are reasoning from the end.

If I go out today and buy a ticket for the lottery tomorrow the chance of me winning the lottery is 1 in 1 billion billion (to use your figures). If I do actually win then the day after that the chance of me *having* won the lottery is 1 in 1.
The religious person is using the fact that we are already here as eliminating all possibly alternatives (when, to me at least, we are just wandering along a random path taking a route which *at the time of each step* makes the most sense (if you see what I mean)).
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Messages In This Thread
Logic of chance - by Ephrium - January 9, 2009 at 1:01 am
RE: Logic of chance - by WWLD - January 9, 2009 at 1:10 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Demonaura - January 9, 2009 at 1:56 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Ephrium - January 9, 2009 at 2:01 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Demonaura - January 9, 2009 at 2:16 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Ephrium - January 9, 2009 at 9:19 am
RE: Logic of chance - by allan175 - January 9, 2009 at 10:04 am
RE: Logic of chance - by leo-rcc - January 9, 2009 at 9:40 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Demonaura - January 9, 2009 at 9:40 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Demonaura - January 9, 2009 at 10:12 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Ephrium - January 9, 2009 at 11:56 am
RE: Logic of chance - by allan175 - January 9, 2009 at 12:18 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by Ephrium - January 9, 2009 at 12:43 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by CoxRox - January 9, 2009 at 1:22 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by allan175 - January 9, 2009 at 1:35 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by CoxRox - January 9, 2009 at 1:46 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by allan175 - January 12, 2009 at 9:06 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Edwardo Piet - January 10, 2009 at 10:52 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by Sam - January 15, 2009 at 1:24 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by allan175 - January 15, 2009 at 1:31 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by Sam - January 15, 2009 at 1:38 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by DD_8630 - January 22, 2009 at 6:42 am
RE: Logic of chance - by allan175 - January 22, 2009 at 6:55 am
RE: Logic of chance - by DD_8630 - January 22, 2009 at 7:07 am
RE: Logic of chance - by LukeMC - January 22, 2009 at 11:42 am
RE: Logic of chance - by DD_8630 - January 22, 2009 at 12:13 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by CoxRox - January 22, 2009 at 12:43 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by josef rosenkranz - January 23, 2009 at 1:35 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by DD_8630 - January 23, 2009 at 3:31 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by josef rosenkranz - January 25, 2009 at 2:07 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by DD_8630 - January 25, 2009 at 2:58 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by Ephrium - January 16, 2009 at 1:45 am
RE: Logic of chance - by allan175 - January 16, 2009 at 7:20 am
RE: Logic of chance - by leo-rcc - January 16, 2009 at 7:25 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Eilonnwy - January 23, 2009 at 12:19 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by CoxRox - January 23, 2009 at 2:04 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by Tiberius - January 25, 2009 at 3:20 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by leo-rcc - January 25, 2009 at 4:05 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by Tiberius - January 25, 2009 at 4:24 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by leo-rcc - January 25, 2009 at 4:43 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by lukec - January 26, 2009 at 12:20 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by DD_8630 - January 26, 2009 at 1:56 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by lukec - January 26, 2009 at 3:46 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by DD_8630 - February 13, 2009 at 10:55 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by unconvertable - February 14, 2009 at 12:07 am
RE: Logic of chance - by josef rosenkranz - February 15, 2009 at 1:35 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by Demonaura - February 14, 2009 at 3:25 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Ephrium - August 24, 2009 at 3:32 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Tiberius - August 24, 2009 at 10:11 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Darwinian - August 24, 2009 at 10:12 am
RE: Logic of chance - by fr0d0 - August 24, 2009 at 1:32 pm
RE: Logic of chance - by Kyuuketsuki - August 24, 2009 at 10:33 am
RE: Logic of chance - by Violet - August 27, 2009 at 4:20 pm

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