Churches losing membership four times faster than they are gaining it

[Ravenshire]

That is a factor as well, but far from the whole story. It's likely an additional accelerator, but the trend of each generation being less religious than the previous one has been going on since the forties.

True, but the trend-breaking upward spike of the "nones" in the recent decade or so is (in my opinion, anyway) directly linked to mass information technology like the internet.

There's also the simple fact that the more outspoken dissent there is, the less fear there is of being known as a dissenter. It's hard when you're the only one calling out the bullshit. It's a lot easier when you've got a group around you.

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I'm not optimistic enough to believe organized relgion will disappear completely, but there is hope that it will be reduced into a minority.

And good riddance.

I can see mainstream christianity becoming in the near future (50-100 years) much like the Amish and Quaker beliefs today. Quaint religions practiced by a segment of population so small that inbreeding is a real concern.