RE: Are you a Trump supporter?
April 17, 2018 at 9:27 am
(This post was last modified: April 17, 2018 at 10:12 am by henryp.)
Re: Trump and war. The choice for us over here was Trump or Hillary. Hillary had just orchestrated a regime change in Libya seemingly on a whim as secretary of state. And they were drone striking it up all over the place. When people talk about Hillary being a republican, the war thing usually is at the top of the list why. While Trump touted a strong military, he also was the one talking about withdrawing from the front lines in these random endless fights. And just the other day, France's Macron claimed he convinced Trump into not withdrawing from Syria already. I don't think it's altruistic. I think, to someone like Trump, he sees Americans dying and spending a bunch of money on shit that isn't worth it to the US, so he thinks it should stop. I think he's okay with having totalitarian regimes and genocide and such in the world, as long as the offending countries keep it in house. Having someone stubbornly convinced the US should not be involved as a starting point, rather than a Globalist like Hillary who's a fan of military intervention, regime changes, and nation building, is good. If you ignore the Twitter aspect, Trump's foreign policy is more like a European country than the US.
But that's news coverage vs. reality. People keep insinuating he's going to start world war III because of his Twitter feed. But the two most recent "Hey Russia, here they come!" Made Putin look kind of pathetic when he fled the scene and went crying to the UN instead of trying to shoot down the missiles like he said they would. And all the "Rocket Man" talk with NK has led to negotiations. That's that disconnect between the media insinuating WWIII and Nuclear Annihilation are imminent, and the result, which has been favorable for the US and the world.
Re Poker: The no math thing in Poker will hurt you once you reach a certain level of competition. I don't know where you play online, do you guys have some sweet sports betting site that also has a poker site in England that has more gamblers than poker players? I looked into getting back into it recently, but the informed recreational players now are learning (GTO) Game Theory Optimal instead of ABC TAG poker, and the people who have no idea what's going on are mostly gone over here. It's really changed the landscape. Essentially, GTO is almost like one of those cheat sheets that people have for Blackjack that tells them when to hit or fold. And while it won't win them a bunch of money, it definitely keeps them from losing a bunch of money like they would have in the olden days. And with the Rake skyrocketing in the US, making any money of significance in cash games online is tough sledding, especially for us folks essentially using the outdated meta.
Re self-deception: This is the part that I find really interesting. You say you are not aware of it, but you described it. If I ask you "What are the chances of you meeting an obligation in general. I think you said it's about 50/50. And then if you speak about a specific event, you say you feel confident you'll do it. But the truth is that it's still 50/50 regardless of your intentions.
I get the no free will stuff, and the things operating on the unconscious level. But we still see the results. The patterns of behavior are there to observe. In many cases, we understand what and why things are happening on that unconscious level.
I've always liked the idea, of "Embrace, Reject, or Acknowledge and Oppose." We've got our unconscious impulses. But once we become aware of them, and their often irrational nature, our conscious selves can decide how to deal with it. At least that's how I'm wired. Not saying that I'm successful. But if I'm in your situation, and someone says can make an event tomorrow, I'll intend to, but I couldn't not know that it's really 50/50 until I start seeing results that indicate otherwise. Maybe that's more abnormal that I realize.
But that's news coverage vs. reality. People keep insinuating he's going to start world war III because of his Twitter feed. But the two most recent "Hey Russia, here they come!" Made Putin look kind of pathetic when he fled the scene and went crying to the UN instead of trying to shoot down the missiles like he said they would. And all the "Rocket Man" talk with NK has led to negotiations. That's that disconnect between the media insinuating WWIII and Nuclear Annihilation are imminent, and the result, which has been favorable for the US and the world.
Re Poker: The no math thing in Poker will hurt you once you reach a certain level of competition. I don't know where you play online, do you guys have some sweet sports betting site that also has a poker site in England that has more gamblers than poker players? I looked into getting back into it recently, but the informed recreational players now are learning (GTO) Game Theory Optimal instead of ABC TAG poker, and the people who have no idea what's going on are mostly gone over here. It's really changed the landscape. Essentially, GTO is almost like one of those cheat sheets that people have for Blackjack that tells them when to hit or fold. And while it won't win them a bunch of money, it definitely keeps them from losing a bunch of money like they would have in the olden days. And with the Rake skyrocketing in the US, making any money of significance in cash games online is tough sledding, especially for us folks essentially using the outdated meta.
Re self-deception: This is the part that I find really interesting. You say you are not aware of it, but you described it. If I ask you "What are the chances of you meeting an obligation in general. I think you said it's about 50/50. And then if you speak about a specific event, you say you feel confident you'll do it. But the truth is that it's still 50/50 regardless of your intentions.
I get the no free will stuff, and the things operating on the unconscious level. But we still see the results. The patterns of behavior are there to observe. In many cases, we understand what and why things are happening on that unconscious level.
I've always liked the idea, of "Embrace, Reject, or Acknowledge and Oppose." We've got our unconscious impulses. But once we become aware of them, and their often irrational nature, our conscious selves can decide how to deal with it. At least that's how I'm wired. Not saying that I'm successful. But if I'm in your situation, and someone says can make an event tomorrow, I'll intend to, but I couldn't not know that it's really 50/50 until I start seeing results that indicate otherwise. Maybe that's more abnormal that I realize.
