RE: Official live update of spread of COVID19
March 1, 2020 at 12:05 pm
(This post was last modified: March 1, 2020 at 12:18 pm by brewer.)
(February 29, 2020 at 11:20 pm)SUNGULA Wrote:(February 29, 2020 at 10:55 pm)brewer Wrote: Just to put COVID-19 into perspective: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_hu...lity_rates
I'm not gonna sweat this one,.............. yet.
Yeah i''l just leave this
https://towardsdatascience.com/why-the-c...63f571b6a6
https://medium.com/@charitnar/exploring-...2a86fb2c31
I agree that ~3% CFR may not be accurate while the outbreak is still active and this high school students estimate may be correct, in time. But then again it may not.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronaviru...eath-rate/
https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/...3346b04f_2
https://institutefordiseasemodeling.gith...sment.html
I'm surprised that I'm not seeing analysis numbers from an isolated static population, the Diamond Princess ship. Confirmed cases 634 (best number that I can find) vs confirmed deaths 6 (again, best number). The death number may go up but confirmed cases are set. And I can't find (haven't looked that hard) the demographics for the confirmed cases which may effect the number of deaths. [edit] My guess is that, while never being on a cruse ship my age, health status and access to medical care will be similar.
All this being said, I'm still not going to sweat it.
I don't have an anger problem, I have an idiot problem.