(March 2, 2020 at 6:34 pm)brewer Wrote:(March 2, 2020 at 5:52 pm)Mr Greene Wrote: I'm afraid i can't find the link now, but it was an American article mostly referencing the CDC. The final paragraph went on to say there were projections for the virus to infect 40-70% of the global population by year end resulting in 10-100 million deaths.
This would be significantly larger than the 650,000 annual deaths from flu and whilst I may not be in an 'at risk' category, people I care about are.
Eventually everyone is in an at risk category. Cancer, heart failure, stroke, ............... I fit all of these, and a couple more.
It appears to be a twitter quote:
"Nils Gilman @nils_gilman
If 40-70% of humanity ends infected with covid-19 (of which 30-70% are asymptomatic), and the death rate (for the symptomatic) is 1-3%, then the total fatalities worldwide for coronavirus will be between 10m and 100m, and between 400k and 5m in the United States."
I'm not sure he's the medical authority I'd look to for predictions: https://www.berggruen.org/people/nils-gilman/
First time I've seen the twitter post but he's quoting Prof. Marc Lipsitch.
Quote:I don't understand why you'd come to a discussion forum, and then proceed to reap from visibility any voice that disagrees with you. If you're going to do that, why not just sit in front of a mirror and pat yourself on the back continuously?-Esquilax
Evolution - Adapt or be eaten.