(March 3, 2020 at 7:26 am)Mr Greene Wrote:(March 2, 2020 at 6:34 pm)brewer Wrote: Eventually everyone is in an at risk category. Cancer, heart failure, stroke, ............... I fit all of these, and a couple more.
It appears to be a twitter quote:
"Nils Gilman @nils_gilman
If 40-70% of humanity ends infected with covid-19 (of which 30-70% are asymptomatic), and the death rate (for the symptomatic) is 1-3%, then the total fatalities worldwide for coronavirus will be between 10m and 100m, and between 400k and 5m in the United States."
I'm not sure he's the medical authority I'd look to for predictions: https://www.berggruen.org/people/nils-gilman/
First time I've seen the twitter post but he's quoting Prof. Marc Lipsitch.
Lipsitch predicted the 40 to 70% infection rate (published in the Atlantic which Gilman also tweeted about), not the 10 to 100 million dead.
I don't have an anger problem, I have an idiot problem.