RE: Official live update of spread of COVID19
March 3, 2020 at 9:09 am
(This post was last modified: March 3, 2020 at 9:16 am by Mr Greene.)
(March 3, 2020 at 8:14 am)brewer Wrote:(March 3, 2020 at 7:26 am)Mr Greene Wrote: First time I've seen the twitter post but he's quoting Prof. Marc Lipsitch.
Lipsitch predicted the 40 to 70% infection rate (published in the Atlantic which Gilman also tweeted about), not the 10 to 100 million dead.
Quote:Lipsitch: So say that's half the people. Then the 1% or 2% that we're seeing in the symptomatic people is cut down by half. Whatever the number is, it's gonna take a toll. If it really does spread as widely as that projection says, and that's what I think is likely to happen, then there are gonna be millions of people dying. And I don't think there's any way to get around that. And so I think there's real reason for people to be concerned. I also think that we can turn that concern into actions that will make the situation better.It appears that children aren't at risk at all as the virus needs receptors that don't develop till puberty.
As I'm under 60 I don't fit the age bracket nor do I have any of the health concerns listed.
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