(March 3, 2020 at 10:34 am)brewer Wrote:(March 3, 2020 at 10:17 am)Mr Greene Wrote: I take it you have a better figure?
Nope, I'm saying simple math is not a good predictor. What happens if, like influenza, coronavirus is seasonal and transmission/death rates drop drastically? What if people pay attention and alter the transmission rate? There are to many variables not taken into account.
Iran doesn't seem a particularly cold or damp place yet the transmission seems unaffected.
Quote:I don't understand why you'd come to a discussion forum, and then proceed to reap from visibility any voice that disagrees with you. If you're going to do that, why not just sit in front of a mirror and pat yourself on the back continuously?-Esquilax
Evolution - Adapt or be eaten.