(March 3, 2020 at 10:37 am)Mr Greene Wrote:(March 3, 2020 at 10:34 am)brewer Wrote: Nope, I'm saying simple math is not a good predictor. What happens if, like influenza, coronavirus is seasonal and transmission/death rates drop drastically? What if people pay attention and alter the transmission rate? There are to many variables not taken into account.
Iran doesn't seem a particularly cold or damp place yet the transmission seems unaffected.
Are you now saying that variables should not be considered? You do understand that the 1 to 3 percent CFR itself may be questionable at this time based on variables.
I don't have an anger problem, I have an idiot problem.