Here is his prediction video that lovers of Ron Paul keep running around holding up as if the holy grail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifJG_oFFDK0
Lets start off with his introduction. He says messing with the economy and private affairs of citizens lead to bad things:
FACT: ron Paul opposes the first amendment being universal (wanting states to interpret it). He opposes seperation of church and state, opposes birthright citizenship, and opposes abortion for starters. Ron Paul is a hypocrite for saying what he said, yet sponsering bills to allow the government to impose themselves into private citizens affairs.
"Here are some of the consequences about which we should be concerned"
Yet he isnt concerned when the govt invades on the privacy of others when he agrees with it. This man is a lying hypocrite.
PREDICTION #1 - "I predict US taxpayers will pay to rebuild palestine..and afghanistan"
DEBUNK - America has a well known history of rebuilding what it destroys during warfare in order to set its influence more deeply into the country it has conquered. Civil war? north sent carpet baggers. WW1? US and allies fucked with Germany's repuilding and economy so much they fueld the rise of Hitler. WW2? Japan was rebuilt and used as cheap labor for steel. I can point out so many historical precedents of America rebuilding nations they destroyed that one could blatantly point out that would happen. This is not a prediction. He is pointing out the obvious. That is how the war pigs continue to make money.
PREDICTION #2 - "Peace of sorts will come to the middle east, but it will be short lived"
DEBUNK - WHAT? "Of sorts"? Not very specific here. Has the middle east had peace since his "predictions"?
PREDICTION #3 - "There will be big promises of more US money to Israel and to Arab countries allied with the united states"
DEBUNK - Again, another DUH! Moment. America has a LOOONG history of supplying not only their allies with money and weapons, but also their enemies. If he had of predicted "Israel would no longer receive money from America" and it happened, THEN my jaw would drop. Ron Paul might as well predict that the sky will be blue tommorrow.
PREDICTION #4 - "US troops, and others, will be used to monitor the peace"
DEBUNK - America has a LONG history of imperialism. America ALWAYS does this. We STILL have troops all over Europe. Ron Paul might as well have said "The sun will rise soon".
PREDICTION #5 - "In time, an oil boycott will be imposed, bringing prices to historic highs"
DEBUNK - 1979 energy crisis anyone? This isnt a prediction. This is obvious. He might as well say "If we boycot cigars from Cuba, then cuban cigars prices will soar to historic highs".
PREDICTION #6 - "US/Israel will solidify Arab Muslim nations to avenge Palestinians"
DEBUNK - What? That never happened before. It never EVER happened before, and Arab nations never used palestine as an excuse to do all sorts of things. [/sarcasm]. Its like Paul is Captain obvious. Arabs and muslims have been doing that ever sense Israel was given to the Jews after WWII.
PREDICTION #7 - "Some of our moderate Islamic allies will be overthrown by fundamentalists"
DEBUNK - Good call Paul. Im not being sarcastic here, he made a good call. That was something that wasnt expected 100%. Something like that cant just be tossed out as easily as his last 6 "predictions". Of course, some of these allies are still forming the aftermath of their revolutions, and only time will tell if Paul is 100% accurate on this. I hope he isnt.
PREDICTION #8 - "The UN will CONTINUE to condemn US policies in the middle east"
DEBUNK - Of course they are going to do such a thing, and of course they will be ignored. Paul knows the history of America and especially the Bush family when dealing with the middle east. He knows they are "Israel" heavy, and that always leads to complaining from the UN. He cant just say "and they will be ignored", because some of them WERE ignored, some not. So he isnt even correct on ignoring them.
PREDICTION #9 - "European contries will support mid east countries and their anti-israel views.
DEBUNK - Which countries? Europe is pretty big and has a history of being more Muslim tolerant than America at the time Paul said that. Could anyone point out the countries in Europe who are doing this right now?
PREDICTION #10 - "China will sell weapons to our enemies with our foreign aid money and align herself with arab nations"
DEBUNK - Even Bush did that. (
http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/new...l-1.261106 ). Like I said, it is common place for big countries to supply their allies and enemies with weapons. Its all about profit. Its basic and common knowledge. We are aligned with Saudi Arabia yet the vast majority of 9-11 terrorist were saudi's. China has also been doing this to America since the beginning of the cold war.
PREDICTIONS #11 - "US with britain will attack Iraq without proper authority and a the largest war since ww2 will result"
DEBUNK - I used to walk around when Bush W. was running for office for the first time sayin "A vote for Bush is a vote for 4 to 8 years of constant war with Iraq". It was very common knowledge of the history of the Bush family and Iraq. Most voters knew that Iraq was going to be a big thing if Bush W. got elected.
PREDICTION #12 - "China will go after resources, LAND GRABS, oil, etc.."
DEBUNK - What land did China grab in central asia? If he means by pruchasing them legally or through debt then that is something China has always done, just like America. China is a major power, they need fuel and resources. It doesnt help that we have always burrowed money from China WAY before Ron made this "prediction". Again, Paul is just pointing out the obvious, and I am not knocking him for that, but it is in no way a "prediction".
PREDICTION #13 - "The Karzai government will fail, and the us presence will end in Afghanistan"
DEBUNK - Afghanistan is part of the middle east. (
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middle_East) The same middle east that his Prediction #4 claims the US will remain to monitor the peace. He didnt even go over his own list of predictions for consistency before he read it. There are STILL troops in afghanistan, and its quite possible, if America follows it business as usual, that they will never EVER leave. 10 years later Karzai is STILL in power, and the government, although shakey, is far from being considered as "failed". Then again, what are the goal posts that Paul meant for "fail"? He isnt being very specific.
PREDICTION #14 - "An international dollar crisis will boost interest rates in united states."
DEBUNK - Its a war. DUH. Of course that is going to happen. Money will become scarce... but that isnt what did it. What Paul missed was that it was caused by people playing games with interest on land, not a dollar crisis. It was actually the OPPOSITE of what Paul described. What Paul was describe usually historically happens during war times, but how could he know it would happen BACKWARDS to historical precidence. On top of that, he knew the current administration wanted top 1% tax cuts DURING that big ass war. The warst thing you can do, have a big ass war and allow the rich to skate free of taxes.
PREDICTION #15 - "Price inflation with major economic downturn...exploding deficits and uncontrolled spending"
DEBUNK - Good call Paul. He was aware of the greedy bastards around him who wanted everything without paying their dues.
PREDICT #16 - "Fed reserve will expand credit which will make the dollar crisis worse"
DEBUNK - They would HAVE to do such a thing if they wished for the economy to still fucntion with tax cuts for the rich during a time of massive warfare. This is how the rich makes tax free money NOW by taking out credit on our grandchildren. Paul is right, but it was obvious.
PREDICTION #17 - "Gold will be seen as an alternative to paper money as it returns to its historic role as money"
DEBUNK - Keep on wishing that Paul. 10 years later and Gold is STILL not seen as "money". In fact Gold has went up and down like a freaking roller coaster. As far as "being seen as an alternative to paper money"...come on Paul. Gold has always been a historic money, so many people will ALWAYS still look at it as money, but as far as being reinstated as the official currency of America, Paul, you are still DEAD WRONG. You can even look at the graph on that vid and see at the far right hand side where Gold dropped off the cliff.
PREDICTION #18 - "Erosion of civil liberties at hime will continue...Patriot act."
DEBUNK - You got a lot of nerve to speak of eroding civil liberties when you have tried to erode some of them yourself Paul. Either way, he opposes the Patriot Act and I agree.
PREDICTION #19 - "Many people will be killed in the conflict"
DEBUNK - Okay...Captain obvious
PREDICTION #20 - "The leader of whichever side loses the war will be hauled in and tried for crimes..we will not lose the war, but neither will we win."
DEBUNK - not a very consistant thought. First you declare that both sides can either win or lose, then you declare that one side (America) will neither be able to lose or win. This is the politician in Ron. He flip flops. Hauled in where? Tried for war crimes where? Also, more historical precidence here, he is merely describing business as usual.
PREDICTION #21 - "The government will be expanded"
DEBUNK - as it always was doing before Paul was elected, and it will continue doing after Paul dies. No prediction there. Just Captain Obvious again.
PREDICTION #22 - "Policy changes will prevent these prediction from occuring"
DEBUNK - Just like turning off the water will stop the tub from overflowing. Again, captain obvious. These arent predictions. They are a list of business as usual that America has followed throughout most of history.
PREDICTION #23 - "The constitution will be undermined and weakened"
DEBUNK - and you support it. You wish to remove 1st amendment and put it in the states hand (instead of Supreme Court) to decide. RON also wants to appeal the 14, 16 and 17th ammendments to the constitution. Ron is a hypocrite to say others would erode the constitution, when he wants to outright gut 4 amendments to it.
PREDICTION #24 - "During the next decade, the people will become poorer and less free, while they become more dependent on the govt for economic security"
DEBUNK- He was aware of the tax cuts planned for the rich, and what supply side economics does. Ron would be instrumental in trying to take freedoms from the people by trying to gut the constitution.
PREDICTION #25 - "The war will continue to be divisive"
DEBUNK - Captain obvious again.
PREDICTION #26 - "Aggitation from class warfare will divide us domestically"
DEBUNK - Captain obvious. When has that EVER stopped?
PREDICTION #27 - "Lobbyists will thrive from the chaos"
DEBUNK - Good call Paul.