RE: Atheism, Evidence and the God-of-the-Gaps
June 14, 2015 at 2:11 am
(June 13, 2015 at 7:31 pm)Randy Carson Wrote: If God did this, then surely we would know he existed, right? Well, why wouldn’t this kind of evidence also be subject to the “God-of-the-gaps” objection? Just because we don’t know how a giant man can appear in the sky doesn’t mean there is no natural explanation for him. Maybe aliens or time-travelers are at work, deceiving us?
Even “low-key” evidence is vulnerable to the “God-of-the-gaps” objection. Some atheists say that if Christian preachers could heal amputated limbs, that would convince them God existed. But once again, aren’t we just taking a gap in our knowledge (“I don’t know how these limbs are being healed”) and filling it with, “Therefore, God did it?”
This argument contains a sneaky fallacy, or, perhaps, mis-definition.
First, let's talk about proof. "100% proof" isn't going to be attainable for any statement other than the Cartesian "I exist." I could be a brain in a jar. But, hell, to become a theist, I (speaking for myself here) would not need 100% proof of god - that is, to be shown that it is certain there is a god. I would not need to be shown that god is more likely to exist than not. I would need to be shown that there is a not-infinitesimally small chance that there is a god. Let's say, 1%.
Next, let's take this premise: For any "event" X, either:
1. X is explainable with our current scientific knowledge (that is, explainable by purely natural processes that we are aware of).
2. X is not currently explainable with our current scientific knowledge, but is actually a natural, repeatable thing that obeys the laws of the universe (that is, X comports with a scientific, materialistic worldview, but we aren't currently aware of it).
3. X is not currently explainable with our current scientific knowledge, and that's because it's actually a miracle (that is, no consistent, complete scientific framework could account for X).
Events in category 1 aren't evidence for god.
Events that aren't in category 1 are either in category 2 or 3, but by definition we don't know which until scientific knowledge catches up.
The God-of-the-Gaps argument is
not that "every possible event that can occur will be a category 1 or category 2 event." The God-of-the-Gaps argument is that "non-category 1 events are
not sufficient (or even remotely effective) evidence for god unless it can be shown that it is more likely (or, even, there is a 1% possibility) that it is a category 3 event rather than a category 2 event." That is to say: when something occurs that we can't explain right now, one can't reasonably point to it as evidence of god unless it seems to fall so far out of step with what we already know that it is logically more likely to be supernatural than natural.
And here's the thing: if one wants to
prove god, the scientific method should be one's best friend. If something occurs that we can't currently explain, you should be trying to get a bajillion scientists together to figure out how it works. If they can, well, our knowledge was just incomplete, and it was never evidence to begin with. If they
can't explain it after repeated tests and theories and decades of study, then it starts to become more and more likely that the event is a category 3 event - a true miracle.
I can't speak for everyone here, but seeing an amputee - who I know to have really lost their arm, and such - walk up to the alter, grasp the host, utter a short prayer, and regrow their arm in front of my eyes would be enough to knock me down to true agnostic. Then we'd have to find another true believer, take them to that church, and see if they could do something similar (to rule out the possibility of the first person "cheating" with some kind of regeneration serum). Then a third would have to do it in a different church (to make sure it wasn't some regenerative property of that church - although, if it was, testing could determine if it was something we could explain or not). And if scientists couldn't come up with a framework for how it happened, couldn't duplicate it...
then the odds that the event was a Category 3 event would be sufficient to constitute proof of god.
So, to sum up (TL;DR): God-of-the-Gaps is NOT an assumption of an inability to prove god. It is an observation that those who wish to "prove" the existence of god
have artificially depressed standards of evidence, and are likely to assume currently unexplainable events are supernatural when there's no good reason for it.
***Disclaimer: wrote this at 2 AM. Was tired.***