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Why smart machines are a threat to the way humanity currently exists
#1
Why smart machines are a threat to the way humanity currently exists
A user here recently directed me to the article: "Smart Machines Are Not a Threat to Humanity".

Of course, like many other articles of the same form, the article fails to consider the following:

(1) The functioning machine intelligence at the onset of the industrial revolution, are very different models than the brain inspired beasts that function well today. The old models didn't function well, while "learning" to do tasks as humans do.

By 2020, we will likely see conventional machines with human level brain power. (See Wikipedia "Exascale Computing")


(2) In the distant past, the top three firms in some region of the world earned billions, and hired millions.

Recently, the top 3 in a similar region earned trillions, and hired thousands.

(See article "Fourth Industrial Revolution brings promise and peril for humanity")



FOOTNOTE:
In other words, the initial trend (where more jobs naturally arose, as more machines came) has already changed, and changes are occurring faster still, opposite to the initial trend.


EDIT:
Here is a useful edit for everybody to see, which answers user Mathilda's first response to this thread:

Unsupervised learning models, which are things needed for Artificial General Intelligence (or significantly smarter ai) already exist, and get better and better, as time goes by.
Here are some examples:

(1) Manifold learning or Deepmind's "Early Visual Concept Learning with Unsupervised Deep Learning"?
(2) Generative Adversarial Networks that uses unsupervised learning? (See Wikipedia "Generative_adversarial_networks")
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#2
RE: Why smart machines are a threat to the way humanity currently exists
Show me a deep learning model that learns and adapts in real time rather than gets trained off-line on a data set. This will be required for AGI

(September 5, 2017 at 2:36 am)ThoughtCurvature Wrote: (2) In the distant past, the top three firms in some region of the world earned billions, and hired millions.

Recently, the top 3 in a similar region earned trillions, and hired thousands.


Is there a 'right to explanation' for machine learning in the GDPR?
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#3
RE: Why smart machines are a threat to the way humanity currently exists
Earlier, machines replaced human muscles and humans ruled over them with the brain. Once that brain too gets replaced by a machine, humans won't be of much use, would they?

Just because we don't have a functioning human level AI doesn't mean the threat is any less because large portions of what we do can already be done by AI and they can do it better than us, and AI is still improving every day... IBM recently launched a project to build an AI that can adapt to situations and the initial results look promising
Quote:To know yet to think that one does not know is best; Not to know yet to think that one knows will lead to difficulty.
- Lau Tzu

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#4
RE: Why smart machines are a threat to the way humanity currently exists
(September 5, 2017 at 2:47 am)Mathilda Wrote: Show me a deep learning model that learns and adapts in real time rather than gets trained off-line on a data set. This will be required for AGI


I already added unsupervised examples to the original post, but I will do so here once more:

(1) Manifold learning or Deepmind's "Early Visual Concept Learning with Unsupervised Deep Learning"
(2) Generative Adversarial Networks that uses unsupervised learning (See Wikipedia "Generative_adversarial_networks")
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