You Can't Disprove a Miracle

[Cyberman]

My brother-in-law when a child had a brain tumor. Causing seizureres.  In hospital for surgery. New CT scan taken to map surgery. No tumor. Seizures stopped. Father-in-law was a minister and brother-in-law had literally hundreds of people praying.

                              Pr(H/K) x Pr(E/H&K) 
 Pr(H/E&K) =   ----------------------------------------
                                      Pr(E/K) 

It is helpful to think of H as the hypothesis at issue, K as the background knowledge, and E as the new evidence. Pr(H/K&E) and Pr(H/ K) are called, respectively, the posterior and priorprobability of H. Pr(E/ H&K) is called the likelihood of H; it is a measure of how well H explains E. Pr(E/K) is variously called the prior likelihood or the expectancy of E; it is a measure of how surprising the new evidence E is. 

(H) A miracle removed tumor (hypothesis)
(K) Tumors do not disappear between CT scans in a matter of weeks (background knowledge)
(E) Tumor gone. Symptoms gone (evidence)

The probability of H given K (LOW) multiplied by how well H explains E (HIGH)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 Expectancy of E (LOW)

Probability is high that this was a miracle.

Where is Madeleine McCann?

That's not a frivolous question, now that you've raised the subject of prayer.

Little Madeleine famously disappeared from her parents' hotel room in Portugal almost nine years ago. Her parents spent a great deal of time visiting prayer groups around the world, even having audiences with the then-Pope, yet apart from a handful of spurious sightings she has never been seen again, and is likely dead. So why is this? Why have the prayers of all these thousands of fervent faithful still not been answered? If this god can heal a disease known for periodic remission, why is this little girl - who would be 12 by now - still missing?