(April 30, 2016 at 1:40 pm)Jenny A Wrote:(April 30, 2016 at 11:27 am)Wyrd of Gawd Wrote: Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, and Florida voted Dem in the last election. So it simply doesn't matter in the Presidential election if everyone in those States vote Dem in this election.
Based on the 2012 election the Dems would have to pick up over 212,000 votes to swing Arizona Blue.
Right now Hillary is losing votes compared to where she was in 2008. Since there are more voters now than there was in 2008 she should have gained some more instead of losing them. She's going to get the nomination but expect her to get her ass handed to her in November.
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidenti...6-vs-2008/
Oh, and in Texas Hillary needs to pick up over 1,261,000 new votes to out vote the Repubs based on the 2012 election. Good luck with that.
Yes, those states are the crucial states because they are swing states. Romney lost the election because he lost them. Trump is set to lose them. AND if he loses them it will cost him the election.
Texas won't be in play 2016, but give them another four years and they will be.
Buy a clue.
Colorado has 9 votes, Nevada 6, New Mexico 5, and Florida 29 for a total of 49 votes. Romney got 206 votes. The additional 49 from those four States would have given him 255 total. He would still have lost the election. Remember, Romney won two more States than McCain. So those States could have an additional 100 million Dem voters among them in November and it won't matter because their number of electoral votes won't increase until after the next census.
Trump doesn't need the hispanic vote to win and it's silly and a waste of time for him to cater to it. He needs to go after Virginia 13, New Jersey 14, Michigan 16, Wisconsin 10, Ohio 18, New York 29, Pennsylvania 20. If he wins all of those and the 206 votes Romney got he will top out at 326, a major win. If he doesn't carry New York and Pennsylvania he could still get 277 votes with the others. He will win by 7. So Trump could win without Florida and the other States that have sizable hispanic voting blocs. That's why national polls are BS and irrelevant and a waste of money. If the Dems turn against Hillary in those few States she can continue to get rich by fluffing the Wall Streeters because she won't become President.
