(May 18, 2022 at 2:18 pm)highdimensionman Wrote: How many exo planets by december 31 2023 will James webb find to have good indications of life?
My guess is 80 planets.
Feel free to make your guess here on the thread you could even try and make a more educated guess than my very rough ball park but I thought I should throw my guess into the hat never the less.
As others have already mentioned, the answer here is somewhat contingent on what you consider to be a "good" indicator. It's also going to depend on how we define life. Let's get a little more specific:
How many exo-planets with abundant molecular oxygen (>5% O2) and water vapour in their atmospheres do you think that the JWST will have found by December 31, 2023?
I'll bet 17.
Here's the Cycle 1 Observation Schedule for anybody who wants to make an informed guess.