Russia and Ukraine

[pocaracas]

When you invade another country, with an overwhelming number of hardware, including T90s ´n stuff, then get pushed back, several times (Kiev, Izium), ending in a rout, then things are not looking good for you. Then things didnt go according to plan
Period

From what I remember, the number used initially was not that overwhelming. Many commented that an army would require a force 3 times greater than the defending forces, but the Russians brought only around 1 times, which they would know was insufficient.... unless there was some misdirection involved.

Ultimately, I see Russia winning, in which the West's efforts will have just been to prolong a senseless and unnecessary war.  It is most certainly not a hope, but, a prediction, in part, based upon their historical behavior and culture.

IF (big if) Russia does have the manpower to drag on the war, then they may hold on to some of the captured provinces if they are still in control of them when the Ukrainian army runs out of people or the West stops supplying weapons (whichever happens first).
If there is no manpower or no weapons, then they will have to keep on retreating. What this will mean for Russia in a geopolitical sense, I don't know.