(October 30, 2023 at 2:45 pm)Leonardo17 Wrote: I don’t know which movie it was. Someone was talking about Nazi Germany and said that “One does not fight the USA and Russia at two fronts. One has to bring the USA and Russia to fight one another”.
I think this is what China just did in a very successful manner. Without that, even with all their economic growth etc. China would have been able to become a real challenge for the West. Now there will be a Soviet Union 2.0 there and the world will have to live with it.
2) If Israel + the US moves on Iran (and I would not be among those who cry for days if something like that really happened), China will probably move on Taiwan in the Pacific.
Yet, ad country of 1,5 Billion inhabitants is always a puzzle. So these are just my own personal ideas
I disagree with this reading. China has certainly drawn Russia into its economic orbit, but Russia's invasion has made the Western world take serious note of the dangers posed by the world's autocracies, leading to greater support for Taiwan. It's also made other nations very cautious of the Belt and Road Initiative. When combined with their economic downturn and the need to increase their military budget, the Chinese situation is probably not nearly so strong as it was 18 months ago, imo.
